THEORIES OF RISK: TESTING INVESTOR BEHAVIOR ON THE TAIWAN STOCK AND STOCK INDEX FUTURES MARKETS

Stock Index Futures Trading and Volatility in International Equity Markets

We examine stock market volatility before and after the introduction of equity index futures trading in twenty-five countries, using various models that account for asynchronous data, conditional heteroskedasticity, asymmetric volatility responses, and the joint dynamics of each country’s index with the world market portfolio. We find that futures trading is related to an increase in conditiona...

Price Discovery and Arbitrage between Futures and Cash Markets for Taiwan Stock Index

Efficient Price Discovery in Stock Index Cash and Futures Markets

This study is concerned with the aggregation of information in stock index cash and futures markets. The efficient price discovery is analyzed with reference to the error correction representation and to the common trend representation of cointegrated variables. The empirical evidence is based on three month of intraday data on the French CAC 40 index. The results indicate that deviations from ...

Mean Reversion in Stock Index Futures Markets: a Nonlinear Analysis

written while he was a Visiting Scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The authors are grateful to Abhay Abhyankar, Bernard Dumas, Mark Taylor, and Dick van Dijk for useful conversations or comments on previous drafts. The usual disclaimer applies, meaning that the authors alone are responsible for any errors that may remain and for the views expressed in the paper. *Correspondence a...

An Alternative Approach To Investigating Lead-lag Relationships Between Stock And Stock Index Futures Markets

In the absence of market frictions, the cost of carry model of stock index futures pricing predicts that returns on the underlying stock index and the associated stock index futures contract will be perfectly contemporaneously correlated. Evidence suggests, however, that this prediction is violated with clear evidence that the stock index futures market leads the stock market. We argue that tra...